The Little Book of Common-Sense Investing, by John C. Bogle
Main Points
This book is, frankly, very repetitive and could have honestly been a blogpost or booklet. So, instead of chapter-by-chapter notes, I’ll just create a list of the main points that Bogle goes over (and over and over) in the book.
- Investing is a common-sense game, and common-sense suggests that ‘simple is best’. The simplest portfolio is the best portfolio.
- Compounding is magic — understand it.
- The brokers always win, so avoid them (and their fees) as best you can by trading less.
- For investors, returns decrease as motion increases. This is all because of the costs of investing.
- Expanding on the previous point: for Wall Street, the more you move your money around (through their services), the more money they make. It’s in their best interest to keep you coming back to them.
- “Over time, the aggregate gains made by … shareholders must of necessity match the business gains of the company.” If it does not, then something is fishy.
- Use P/E multiples in your decision-making — when multiples are high, a stock is overvalued; when low, it is undervalued.
- The market will always regress to the mean (RTM); any exceptionally good or bad performance is just that — an exception.
- Do not predict the future based solely on the past — predict the future based on lessons from the past, and the reality of the present. If a stock has been doing good in the past, while that may be a good sign, it does not mean it will continue to do good.
- When you invest in the entire stock market, you are investing in both the profits and losses of other investors; the opportunity cost of this is the 1% chance of massive gains, but you have no chance of massive losses either.
- Actively managed funds underperform benchmark indexes.
- Before the costs of brokers, beating the market is a zero-sum game. After costs, it is a loser’s game. These costs also compound, which can be costly in the long-term.
- Dividends, when reinvested, result in massive gains — but mutual funds take away most of them in costs.